The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range. The probability of being in this range is only 0.02% higher than the probability of the 1% to 2% range.

The inverted Bund yields continued this week with the negative 2-year/10-year yield spread at negative 42.2 basis points. As a result, today’s simulation shows that the probability of negative spreads ...

Julie Young is an experienced financial writer and editor. She specializes in financial analysis in capital planning and investment management. Eric's career includes extensive work in both public and ...